Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Metz.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nimes 0-1 Caen
Saturday, July 30 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Saturday, July 30 at 6pm in Ligue 2
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Laval | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Caen | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Niort | 2 | -2 | 3 |
Last Game: Metz 3-0 Amiens
Saturday, July 30 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Saturday, July 30 at 6pm in Ligue 2
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Valenciennes | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Metz | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | Bastia | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Metz had a probability of 27.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Caen in this match.
| Result | ||
| Caen | Draw | Metz |
44.76% ( 2.44) | 27.33% ( -0.07) | 27.91% ( -2.37) |
| Both teams to score 47.32% ( -1.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.3% ( -0.72) | 57.7% ( 0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.54% ( -0.57) | 78.46% ( 0.57) |
| Caen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.33% ( 0.93) | 25.67% ( -0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.42% ( 1.25) | 60.58% ( -1.25) |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.66% ( -2.22) | 36.34% ( 2.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.88% ( -2.32) | 73.12% ( 2.32) |
| Score Analysis |
Caen 44.76%
Metz 27.91%
Draw 27.33%
| Caen | Draw | Metz |
| 1-0 @ 12.68% ( 0.67) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.67)3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.4)3-2 @ 2% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.17)Other @ 2.18% Total : 44.76% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.33% | 0-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.45)0-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.47)1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.3)0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.27)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.16)Other @ 1.89% Total : 27.91% |
How you voted: Caen vs Metz
Caen
50.0%Draw
37.5%Metz
12.5%16
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2017 7pm
