Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 41.27%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Pau had a probability of 29.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 2-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
