Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Rodez AF had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.39%) and 2-1 (7.19%). The likeliest Rodez AF win was 0-1 (12.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.