Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chateauroux win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Niort had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chateauroux win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Niort win was 0-1 (11.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chateauroux would win this match.