Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for FC Chambly had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.26%) and 1-2 (7.94%). The likeliest FC Chambly win was 1-0 (11.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.