Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Laval win with a probability of 36.52%. A win for Guingamp had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Laval win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.59%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Guingamp win was 0-1 (11.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Laval would win this match.