Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 38.62%. A win for Caen had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.