Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nancy win with a probability of 37.22%. A win for Caen had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nancy win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Caen win was 0-1 (11.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nancy in this match.
