Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Niort had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Niort win was 1-0 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Auxerre in this match.
