Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Niort win with a probability of 40.82%. A draw had a probability of 30.9% and a win for Chateauroux had a probability of 28.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Niort win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.51%) and 2-1 (7.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.12%), while for a Chateauroux win it was 0-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.