Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nancy win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Niort had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nancy win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.74%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Niort win was 1-0 (11.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.