Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 39.38%. A draw had a probability of 32.4% and a win for Niort had a probability of 28.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.3%) and 1-2 (6.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.11%), while for a Niort win it was 1-0 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochaux would win this match.