Pau

4 - 1

Red Star

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for Pau had a probability of 36.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Pau win was 1-0 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.