Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 42.61%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Rodez AF had a probability of 27.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 2-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for a Rodez AF win it was 0-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pau would win this match.