Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for Quevilly had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.64%) and 1-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Quevilly win was 1-0 (12.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.