Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 58.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Pau had a probability of 17.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.14%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Troyes would win this match.