Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.48%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (12.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.