Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 44.74%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Dunkerque had a probability of 26.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 2-1 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Dunkerque win it was 0-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Valenciennes in this match.