Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Nancy had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Nancy win was 0-1 (11.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.