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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 11
Jun 20, 2021 at 7pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Philadelphia Union

Atlanta
2 - 2
Philadelphia

Przybylko (58' og.), Walkes (83')
Lopez (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Burke (84'), Glesnes (90+3')
Bedoya (30'), Flach (41'), Fontana (53'), Glesnes (60'), Monteiro (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawPhiladelphia Union
39.91%27.12%32.97%
Both teams to score 50.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.82%55.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.58%76.42%
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.94%27.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.57%62.43%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.71%31.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.36%67.64%
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 39.91%
    Philadelphia Union 32.97%
    Draw 27.11%
Atlanta UnitedDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 11.06%
2-1 @ 8.4%
2-0 @ 7.23%
3-1 @ 3.66%
3-0 @ 3.15%
3-2 @ 2.13%
4-1 @ 1.2%
4-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 39.91%
1-1 @ 12.85%
0-0 @ 8.47%
2-2 @ 4.88%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.11%
0-1 @ 9.84%
1-2 @ 7.47%
0-2 @ 5.72%
1-3 @ 2.89%
0-3 @ 2.21%
2-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 32.97%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Philadelphia

Atlanta United
25.0%
Draw
19.2%
Philadelphia Union
55.8%
52
Head to Head
Jun 20, 2020 10.30pm
May 10, 2020 12.30am
Oct 25, 2019 1am
Conference Semi-Finals
Atlanta
2-0
Philadelphia
Gressel (10'), Martinez (80')
Gressel (38'), Escobar (88')

Bedoya (34'), Wagner (74')
Sep 1, 2019 12.30am
Gameweek 34
Philadelphia
3-1
Atlanta
Aaronson (61'), Przybylko (86'), Santos (88')
Fabian (78'), Santos (89')
Martinez (45')
Remedi (12'), Gonzalez (93')
Mar 17, 2019 11pm
Gameweek 4
Atlanta
1-1
Philadelphia
Barco (70')
Gonzalez Pirez (93')
Aaronson (47')
Medunjanin (53'), Burke (76')
rhs 2.0
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