Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.37%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.