Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.27%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Austin FC in this match.