We said: Charlotte FC 2-1 Orlando City
With a sensational record at the Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte will be overwhelming favourites for Wednesday night's clash, but we feel that Orlando could cause the hosts some issues.
That being said, we do not expect the Crown to suffer only their second MLS defeat in nine matches, with Smith's side having enough quality to secure maximum points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.