We said: Charlotte FC 1-1 Seattle Sounders
Seattle's recent form has not been particularly impressive, but Charlotte are losing a lot of games at the moment. We were close to backing an away win here, but Charlotte have won five of their last six matches in all competitions at home, so a low-scoring draw is the pick for this contest.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 34.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.