Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 63.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 15.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.