Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 49.93%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 26.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.