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Columbus Crew
Major League Soccer
Oct 3, 2024 at 12.45am UK
MAPFRE Stadium
Inter Miami

Columbus Crew
2 - 3
Inter Miami

Rossi (46'), Camilo Hernandez (61' pen.)
Camacho (59')
Camacho (63')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Messi (45', 45+5'), Suarez (48')
Redondo (38'), Martino (39'), Weigandt (49'), Bright (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Columbus Crew and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: DC United 2-2 Columbus Crew
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Columbus Crew 2-2 Inter Miami

Inter Miami have been the best team in the MLS this season, and their away record has been excellent, with only two defeats conceded in 15 matches on the road. However, Columbus will not give up this race without a fight, and while the Herons are likely to go on to lift the Supporters' Shield this year, we feel that the Crew will force them to wait at least another couple of days until they face Toronto to do so. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 58.78%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 21.6% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.11%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (5.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Columbus CrewDrawInter Miami
58.78% (0.566 0.57) 19.62% (-0.179 -0.18) 21.6% (-0.39 -0.39)
Both teams to score 66.36% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.27% (0.36499999999999 0.36)29.73% (-0.367 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.14% (0.44 0.44)50.86% (-0.444 -0.44)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.88% (0.25 0.25)10.12% (-0.255 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.7% (0.575 0.58)33.3% (-0.577 -0.58)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.82% (-0.10000000000001 -0.1)26.17% (0.096999999999998 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.74% (-0.134 -0.13)61.26% (0.131 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Columbus Crew 58.78%
    Inter Miami 21.6%
    Draw 19.62%
Columbus CrewDrawInter Miami
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.11% (0.062 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.95% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 6.07% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 5.31% (0.061 0.06)
3-2 @ 4.77% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 4.07% (0.08 0.08)
4-0 @ 3.04% (0.067 0.07)
4-2 @ 2.73% (0.045 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.87% (0.056 0.06)
5-0 @ 1.39% (0.045 0.04)
5-2 @ 1.25% (0.034 0.03)
4-3 @ 1.22% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 58.78%
1-1 @ 8.13% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-2 @ 6.24% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 2.65% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-3 @ 2.13% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 19.62%
1-2 @ 5.45% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
0-1 @ 3.55% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.38% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.0099999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 21.6%

How you voted: Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami

Columbus Crew
30.9%
Draw
12.7%
Inter Miami
56.4%
55
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2024 12.30am
Round of 16
Columbus Crew
3-2
Inter Miami
Ramirez (67'), Rossi (69', 80')
Matan (90+1')
Rojas (11'), Gomez (62')
Weigandt (41')
Jun 20, 2024 12.30am
Jul 5, 2023 12.30am
Inter Miami
2-2
Columbus Crew
Campana (57'), Martinez (90')
Taylor (79')
Nagbe (23'), Ramirez (69')
Arfsten (38'), Amundsen (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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