Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 36.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.9%) and 0-2 (5.55%). The likeliest Toronto win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
Result | ||
Toronto | Draw | Columbus Crew |
36.76% ( -0.01) | 23.63% ( 0) | 39.6% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 62.81% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.9% ( -0.01) | 39.1% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.57% ( -0.01) | 61.42% ( 0.01) |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.57% ( -0.01) | 21.42% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.57% ( -0.01) | 54.43% ( 0.02) |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.94% ( 0) | 20.06% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.72% ( 0) | 52.28% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Toronto | Draw | Columbus Crew |
2-1 @ 8.19% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.62% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.1% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.62% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.71% Total : 36.76% | 1-1 @ 10.63% 2-2 @ 6.58% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.63% | 1-2 @ 8.54% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.9% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.58% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.53% 0-3 @ 2.97% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.84% 2-4 @ 1.42% 0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 39.6% |