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Toronto FC
Major League Soccer
Sep 19, 2024 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Columbus Crew

Toronto
0 - 2
Columbus Crew


Laryea (78'), Bernardeschi (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Camilo Hernandez (51'), Herrera (70')
Jones (85'), Matan (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toronto 2-1 Austin
Sunday, September 15 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 0-0 Columbus Crew
Sunday, September 15 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 1-4 Columbus Crew

The Crew are rarely held in check, as we saw on Saturday, but they always seem to come back determined after a rough outing or two, and we expect them to take out their scoring frustrations on a leaky Toronto backline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 36.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.9%) and 0-2 (5.55%). The likeliest Toronto win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
TorontoDrawColumbus Crew
36.76% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 23.63% (0.00099999999999767 0) 39.6% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 62.81% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)39.1% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.57% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)61.42% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.57% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)21.42% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.57% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)54.43% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.94% (0.0010000000000048 0)20.06% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.72% (0.0019999999999953 0)52.28% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 36.76%
    Columbus Crew 39.6%
    Draw 23.63%
TorontoDrawColumbus Crew
2-1 @ 8.19% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 6.62% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.21% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.38% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.62% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 36.76%
1-1 @ 10.63%
2-2 @ 6.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.3% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.63%
1-2 @ 8.54% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 6.9% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-2 @ 5.55% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.58% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 3.53%
0-3 @ 2.97% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.84%
2-4 @ 1.42%
0-4 @ 1.19% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 39.6%

How you voted: Toronto vs Columbus Crew

Toronto
24.2%
Draw
6.1%
Columbus Crew
69.7%
33
Head to Head
Jul 7, 2024 12.30am
Columbus Crew
4-0
Toronto
Camilo Hernandez (15'), Ramirez (52'), Farsi (81'), Rossi (85')
Nagbe (72')

Bernardeschi (45+8'), Etienne (67'), Franklin (86'), Thompson (90')
Aug 27, 2023 12.30am
Mar 12, 2023 12.30am
Jun 30, 2022 12.30am
Mar 12, 2022 6.30pm
Columbus Crew
2-1
Toronto
Zelarayan (56'), Etienne (65')
Mensah (29'), Diaz Espinoza (82'), Artur (84')
Jimenez (14')
Nelson (64'), Priso-Mbongue (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
season data?????

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1 00000000

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1 00000000


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