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Major League Soccer
Sep 21, 2024 at 7pm UK
Yankee Stadium
Inter Miami

NY City
1 - 1
Inter Miami

Sands (90+5')
Rodriguez (71'), Parks (80'), Tanasijevic (86'), Parks (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Campana (75')
Fray (64'), Allen (65'), Alba (67'), Aviles (68'), Suarez (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 1-5 Philadelphia
Thursday, September 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-2 Inter Miami
Thursday, September 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 1-2 Inter Miami

The veteran leadership of Miami will know how to bounce back from a minor setback, while the youngsters at NYCFC are still figuring out how to get back on track following a disappointment. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 58.37%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 21.36% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.64%) and 1-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (5.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
New York City FCDrawInter Miami
58.37% (-0.473 -0.47) 20.26% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06) 21.36% (0.525 0.52)
Both teams to score 63.46% (1.081 1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.73% (1.033 1.03)33.27% (-1.037 -1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.96% (1.174 1.17)55.03% (-1.177 -1.18)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.69% (0.194 0.19)11.31% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.04% (0.424 0.42)35.96% (-0.427 -0.43)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.56% (1.064 1.06)28.44% (-1.066 -1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.8% (1.319 1.32)64.2% (-1.322 -1.32)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 58.37%
    Inter Miami 21.36%
    Draw 20.26%
New York City FCDrawInter Miami
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-0 @ 7.64% (-0.297 -0.3)
1-0 @ 7.01% (-0.33 -0.33)
3-1 @ 6.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.55% (-0.171 -0.17)
3-2 @ 4.39% (0.126 0.13)
4-1 @ 3.8% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.02% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-2 @ 2.39% (0.087 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.66% (0.025 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.32% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.04% (0.046 0.05)
4-3 @ 1% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 58.37%
1-1 @ 8.82% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.127 0.13)
0-0 @ 3.22% (-0.178 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.84% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 20.26%
1-2 @ 5.54% (0.074 0.07)
0-1 @ 4.04% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-2 @ 2.54% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.126 0.13)
1-3 @ 2.32% (0.097 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.07% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 21.36%

How you voted: NY City vs Inter Miami

New York City FC
9.3%
Draw
9.3%
Inter Miami
81.4%
43
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2024 11.30pm
Inter Miami
1-1
NY City
Suarez (14')
Gressel (53'), Sailor (62'), Aviles (80'), Suarez (90')
Martinez (34')
Tanasijevic (33'), Jones (88')
Oct 1, 2023 1.32am
Inter Miami
1-1
NY City
Aviles (90+5')
Cremaschi (33'), Aviles (40'), Farias (62'), Krivtsov (69'), Arroyo (70'), Allen (90+7')
Rodriguez (77')
Ledezma (52'), Jasson (81')
Mar 12, 2023 12.30am
Oct 18, 2022 12am
rhs 2.0
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