Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 58.37%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 21.36% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.64%) and 1-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (5.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.