Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 36.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.