Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for DC United had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.