Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montreal Impact win with a probability of 39.64%. A win for DC United had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montreal Impact win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montreal Impact would win this match.