Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 55.11%. A win for DC United had a probability of 23.1% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest DC United win was 2-1 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
DC United | Draw | New York City FC |
23.1% | 21.79% | 55.11% |
Both teams to score 60.36% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.58% | 38.41% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.3% | 60.7% |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.12% | 29.88% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.03% | 65.97% |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.08% | 13.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.63% | 41.37% |
Score Analysis |
DC United | Draw | New York City FC |
2-1 @ 5.99% 1-0 @ 5.03% 2-0 @ 3.04% 3-1 @ 2.41% 3-2 @ 2.38% 3-0 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.05% Total : 23.1% | 1-1 @ 9.91% 2-2 @ 5.9% 0-0 @ 4.16% 3-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.79% | 1-2 @ 9.77% 0-1 @ 8.2% 0-2 @ 8.09% 1-3 @ 6.42% 0-3 @ 5.31% 2-3 @ 3.88% 1-4 @ 3.17% 0-4 @ 2.62% 2-4 @ 1.91% 1-5 @ 1.25% 0-5 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.47% Total : 55.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |