Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 52.11%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for DC United had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a DC United win it was 1-0 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.