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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Sep 29, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Dr. DY Patil Stadium
Los Angeles FC

Cincinnati
1 - 2
Los Angeles

Orellano (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Martinez (34'), Bouanga (73')
Chanot (5'), Palencia (29'), Santos (87'), Lloris (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 2-2 Cincinnati
Sunday, September 22 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-1 Kansas
Thursday, September 26 at 3.30am in US Open Cup

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-1 Los Angeles FC

Buoyed by their cup triumph, Los Angeles FC will return to league action with renewed confidence as they look to finish the regular season on a high. However, Cincinnati are in hot pursuit of Inter Miami in the West and given their impressive home form of late, we fancy the Orange and Blue to grab a narrow victory this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 50.44%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 26.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawLos Angeles FC
50.44% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11) 22.88% (0.029999999999998 0.03) 26.68% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 60.47% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.96% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)40.05% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.59% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)62.41% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.95% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)16.06% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.58% (-0.122 -0.12)45.42% (0.127 0.13)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.03% (0.022000000000006 0.02)27.97% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.4% (0.027000000000001 0.03)63.6% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 50.44%
    Los Angeles FC 26.68%
    Draw 22.88%
FC CincinnatiDrawLos Angeles FC
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.21% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.51% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.84% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.58% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.72% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.67% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.7% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 50.44%
1-1 @ 10.46% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.1%
0-0 @ 4.49% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.88%
1-2 @ 6.67% (0.016 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.72% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.65% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.83% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.59% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.55% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.9% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 26.68%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Los Angeles

FC Cincinnati
81.8%
Draw
9.1%
Los Angeles FC
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2022 10pm
Cincinnati
1-2
Los Angeles
Acosta (45+4')
Harris (19'), Badji (90+4'), Blackett (90+7')
Acosta (59'), Musovski (79')
Henry (6'), Ibeagha (33'), Musovski (90+4'), Crepeau (90+7')
Aug 13, 2020 12.30am
Apr 14, 2019 3.30am
Gameweek 9
Los Angeles
2-0
Cincinnati
Kaye (32'), Vela (93')
Zimmerman (36')

Waston (30')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS


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