Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.