Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 42.99%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.