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Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
Nov 27, 2023 at 12am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
Sporting Kansas

Houston
1 - 0
Kansas

Escobar (39')
Carrasquilla (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Leibold (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 1-1 Salt Lake (4-3 pen.)
Saturday, November 11 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 2-1 St Louis City
Sunday, November 5 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 1-1 Sporting Kansas City (Sporting Kansas City advances on penalties)

Both teams exceeded expectations in the regular season, and they each have a solid midfield shape and match-winners that can make the difference up front. If the match is as close as we anticipate, it could come down to penalties, giving the visitors the edge as Tim Melia has won all seven shootouts that he has been a part of in his professional career.

How to watch

You can watch Houston Dynamo vs. Sporting Kansas City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 57.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 20.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawSporting Kansas City
57.86% (-0.219 -0.22) 21.62% (0.223 0.22) 20.52% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.12% (-0.799 -0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.04% (-1.044 -1.04)40.95% (1.04 1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.65% (-1.075 -1.08)63.34% (1.071 1.07)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.08% (-0.41200000000001 -0.41)13.92% (0.408 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.64% (-0.811 -0.81)41.36% (0.808 0.81)
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.35% (-0.607 -0.61)33.64% (0.603 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.7% (-0.668 -0.67)70.29% (0.664 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 57.86%
    Sporting Kansas City 20.52%
    Draw 21.61%
Houston DynamoDrawSporting Kansas City
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.23% (0.298 0.3)
2-0 @ 9.1% (0.162 0.16)
3-1 @ 6.52% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-0 @ 5.99% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.108 -0.11)
4-1 @ 3.22% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.95% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.081 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.27% (-0.056 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.16% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 57.86%
1-1 @ 10.05% (0.156 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.68% (0.218 0.22)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.61%
1-2 @ 5.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 5.1% (0.158 0.16)
0-2 @ 2.78% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 20.52%

How you voted: Houston vs Kansas

Houston Dynamo
Draw
Sporting Kansas City
Houston Dynamo
50.0%
Draw
21.4%
Sporting Kansas City
28.6%
14
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 1.30am
Kansas
2-1
Houston
Russell (7' pen.), Agade (45+6')
Radoja (34'), Vermes (35'), Thommy (73'), Rosero (88'), Salloi (90+6')
Russell (39')
Hadebe (45+9')
B (0'), Escobar (45+1'), Dorsey (74'), Caicedo (83')
Jul 9, 2023 1.30am
Houston
2-2
Kansas
Ibrahim (45+2'), Franco (90+8')
Ulfarsson (49'), Herrera (50'), Ferreira (90+10')
Pulido (25', 62')
Rosero (65'), Leibold (90+11')
Sep 11, 2022 1.30am
Mar 5, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Kansas
1-0
Houston
Walter (60')
Espinoza (83')

Ceren (55'), Quintero (86'), Vera (90+2')
Oct 3, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 37
Kansas
4-2
Houston
Russell (16' pen., 90'), Salloi (26'), Kinda (57')
Zusi (85')
Picault (51'), Quintero (76')
Junqua (16'), Hadebe (27'), Vera (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami5410115613
2Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia6402138512
3Columbus Crew633084412
4Chicago Fire63211310311
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC6312106410
6Nashville SCNashville631295410
7Orlando City63121512310
8FC CincinnatiCincinnati631289-110
9New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls62227618
10New York City FCNY City62229908
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta62221011-18
12DC United6132811-36
13New England RevolutionNew England511336-34
14Toronto6024612-62
15CF MontrealMontreal6024310-72

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver6411105513
2Austin FCAustin640253212
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd632196311
4Colorado RapidsColorado632187111
5Portland TimbersPortland631298110
6Dallas631299010
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles630389-19
8St Louis City62224228
9San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes62139907
10Seattle SoundersSeattle61328806
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake6204511-66
12Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy6024512-72
13Houston DynamoHouston6024411-72
14Sporting Kansas CityKansas6015612-61
15San Diego FC00000000


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