Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.