We said: Inter Miami 3-1 Toronto
The hosts' main goal is to reach the playoff spots this season, and with key personnel expected to return to the squad for this match, we should see a much better display than they managed last week against Atlanta.
Toronto's away record this season has been woeful, and we feel they will suffer another defeat in this one.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 59.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 18.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.