We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 1-2 Colorado Rapids
Conventional wisdom would suggest that the Galaxy should win this game given their superior quality on paper when compared to the Rapids, not to mention how poor the Burgundy Boys have been defensively on the road.
However, Colorado seem to be finding their groove and growing in confidence, which is the opposite for the Galaxy, who make it far too easy for opposing teams to penetrate their defence of a consistent basis.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 56.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 21.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 1-2 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.