Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 58.57%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 19.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.