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Major League Soccer
Sep 1, 2022 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
LA Galaxy

Toronto
2 - 2
LA Galaxy

Jimenez (62'), Bernardeschi (81' pen.)
MacNaughton (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Costa (24'), Puig (89')
Grandsir (15'), Araujo (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-2 Toronto
Sunday, August 28 at 1.10am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 2-1 Los Angeles Galaxy

Los Angeles Galaxy appear to have hit their stride once again and will head into the midweek clash with sky-high confidence. However, we are backing Toronto to carry on with the momentum from last weekend's victory and hold out for a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
TorontoDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
43.67% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 23.71% (0.004999999999999 0) 32.62% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 61.46% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.56% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)40.43% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.19% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)62.81% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)18.82% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.75% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)50.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.71% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)24.29% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.34% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)58.66% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 43.67%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 32.62%
    Draw 23.71%
TorontoDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.38% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 5.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.55% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.1%
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.48%
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 43.67%
1-1 @ 10.8%
2-2 @ 6.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.57% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.71%
1-2 @ 7.65% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 6.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.16% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 32.62%

How you voted: Toronto vs LA Galaxy

Toronto
64.0%
Draw
12.0%
Los Angeles Galaxy
24.0%
25
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2020 7pm
Jul 5, 2019 3.30am
LA Galaxy
2-0
Toronto
Ibrahimovic (76', 89')
Steres (6'), Alvarez (28'), Polenta (76')

Fraser (44')
Sep 16, 2018 12.30am
Toronto
5-3
LA Galaxy
Vazquez (5'), Altidore (16'), Giovinco (36'), Osorio (75'), Chapman (94')
Osorio (28'), Hagglund (53'), Morrow (58'), Altidore (79')
Ibrahimovic (43'), Kamara (54'), Feltscher (58')
Skjelvik (24'), Romney (68'), Ibrahimovic (82'), Feltscher (86'), dos Santos (90'), Boateng (93')
Sep 17, 2017 3.30am
LA Galaxy
0-4
Toronto

Jamieson (29'), Smith (80')
Moor (24'), Ricketts (37', 76'), Vazquez (78')
Jun 19, 2016 12.30am
rhs 2.0
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