Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 69.27%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 13.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 1-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 1-2 (3.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.