Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 47.42%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Los Angeles Galaxy in this match.