Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 56.94%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 22.28% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.67%) and 1-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.