Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 83.96%. A draw had a probability of 10.2% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 5.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 4-0 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.5%), while for an Austin FC win it was 1-2 (1.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.