Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 65.4%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 15.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Los Angeles Galaxy win it was 1-2 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.