Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Dallas win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.