Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 51.4%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 24.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Dallas win was 0-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Minnesota United in this match.